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Sign up with Google Sign up with FacebookQ: How do you envisage China changing over the next 10/20 years or more?
Don't have much to say to accompany the question, it's late and i'm tired, but China is going through ch-ch-ch-ch-changes. Where do you expect them to lead?
The buildings will be floating in the clouds like the Jetsons where all the rich people live, driving Chinese made hover crafts. Then down in the underworld, the mass population will be living a life of poverty in a wasteland of dump, the remains of the 20th century economic surge.
mArtiAn:
Golly that does sound like fun, flying houses. And we can spit on the oinks down in poor town, how exciting.
dharma86:
Yeah, somewhere for all the cigarette butts and ash, and all the rubbish.
China will have never looked so clean!
China will be on top of the world.. everyone will be trying to get a Chinese passport... everyone will be trying to learn Chinese....
i have a vision that china will become powerful..so powerful....that they will try to bully countries....until USA and UK come to shut them up....Just like what happened to japan and russia and now Iraq
I think representative democracy will die out even in the 'West', as it will be seen to be a failure.
With the fall of the USA as a dominant power there will be a long period of technological stagnation and retreat.
The democratic nations will experiment with direct democracy i.e. via referenda on everything using internet type technology, but the 'grey suits' will interfere, this will lead to conflict.
Meanwhile those nations who ignore or pay lip service to democracy will thrive. I predict in 20 years China will be becoming dominant and Russia will be a close second. India has potential if it can sort out it's democratic system and the dreams of it's abjectly poor under classes.
Hugh.G.Rection:
You are of course entitled to your opinion, but all the evidence is there, it really is remarkably comparable to the fall of Rome. The lack of ability of the military, the fall back from technology the use of money to buy off enemies. Of course then as now, the last people to see the writing on the wall were those living in Rome.
Revolution.
The housing bubble bursts worse than America 4 years ago leaving all those people who sank all they have in the world at great sacrifice vanishing leaving them resenting the shallow promises of the state.
The general population will eventually get educated enough to see what is really happening to them. The rich kids that come home from abroad to preach their new awareness and liberalism to all their friends which will and is having an effect.
In order to keep people working during a massive slowdown in the world economy and shrinking demand for Chinese manufactured products they must keep the wages low while inflation is "harmonized" so as not to piss off 1 billion poor people barely making it.
It's a house of cards obscured by smoke and mirrors and eventually it will all come crumbling down.
The question is not if it will happen. the question is what will rise from the ashes when it does.
The Chinese people are too smart to let it continue in it's current form for perpetuity.
Hugh.G.Rection:
You certainly have history on your side. Chinese history is full of revolutions.
I am of the opinion that your catalyst i.e. a property bubble collapse is wrong, the Chinese government are very well aware of that danger as they are of the increased education, and again, if you look at history, revolutions rarely come from a predicted source.
The increasing gap between the poor and rich is a possible source again as history in China has many examples of that very thing leading to revolution or at the very least huge civil unrest. But I think there is just as much chance of that in Europe / N. America, it is just that the base line of 'poverty' is so much higher, the perceived injustice though, is just as great.
Revolution in China? Almost certainly. In the next 20 years? I VERY much doubt it.